Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 5, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Autosports Group Ltd stock A$2.25, price A$1.09, upside +107.6%, quality 32 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 23 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.00 – A$4.50 · fair‑value band A$1.54 – A$2.81 · the A$1.09 price screens below the A$2.25 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 1, 2026.
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Autosports Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the motor vehicle retailing business in Australia and New Zealand.
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The company sells new and used motor vehicles, aftermarket products, and spare parts; distributes finance and insurance products; and provides motor vehicle servicing and collision repair services.
It also operates used motor vehicle outlets; and motorcycle and motor vehicle dealerships, as well as provides motor vehicle collision repair facilities. Autosports Group Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Leichhardt, Australia.
Stock analysis
Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) currently trades at A$1.09, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.25, implying the stock looks roughly 52% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of A$5.80 per share, and 22 of the 23 models we run sit above the A$1.09 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$1.15, and 1 of the 23 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$1.54 (bear) to A$2.81 (bull), the price of A$1.09 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Autosports Group Ltd reported revenue of A$3.2B in FY2026 versus A$1.9B in FY2022, a compound +14.2%/yr. Reported net income was A$25.7M in FY2026, compounding −16.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap A$248M (≈ $171M) Micro · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) A$0.1300 · Dividend yield 7.4% · Net margin 0.8% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 25 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 76% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at 108%, ASG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearA$1.54Fair Value A$2.25BullA$2.81
Price A$1.09 · Upside +107.6%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (A$0.0177 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCFA$2.90A$5.80A$10.2577
Growth DCFA$2.81A$5.32A$8.9076
Residual IncomeA$1.81A$1.81A$1.8776
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCFA$2.90A$5.80A$10.2577
Owner EarningsA$2.85A$5.71A$10.1273
5Y Revenue ExitA$3.41A$7.15A$12.2970
5Y EBITDA ExitA$4.82A$10.10A$16.8172
5Y P/E ExitA$1.37A$2.91A$4.6268
10Y Revenue ExitA$2.99A$6.27A$11.3763
10Y EBITDA ExitA$3.99A$8.23A$14.8265
10Y P/E ExitA$1.92A$3.45A$5.5262
Earnings-Based
Graham-DoddA$0.8200A$3.97A$5.4664
Lynch FVA$1.06A$1.52A$1.9761
PEG = 1.0A$1.06A$1.52A$1.9757
EPVA$2.65A$3.18A$3.6274
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGMA$0.7000A$1.25A$1.6968
DDM Multi-StageA$0.7000A$1.15A$1.3467
Multiples
P/E MultipleA$1.99A$2.65A$3.3163
P/S MultipleA$1.53A$2.05A$2.5658
EV/EBITA$0.8300A$3.39A$5.9559
EV/EBITDAA$1.17A$3.84A$6.5161
EV/Revenuen/aA$0.5400>A$2.1650
Growth DCF
Growth DCFA$2.81A$5.32A$8.9076
Economic Profit
Residual IncomeA$1.81A$1.81A$1.8776
ROIC CompounderA$2.70A$3.73A$5.0171
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/EA$1.69A$2.42A$3.1467
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+11.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+15.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−13.7% vs 6.4%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2021 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+42.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.5% a year for the price and +2.5% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+107.6% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)5.3% · Below median
Return on assets1.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)0.8% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)10.9% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)7.4% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)8.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.46× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Autosports Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ASG
Frequently asked questions
Is Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$2.25 versus a price of A$1.09, about +108% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ASG?
Our model-based fair value for Autosports Group Ltd is A$2.25 (as of Nov 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$1.09.
What is the quality score of ASG?
Autosports Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$2.25 (as of Nov 1, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$1.54, optimistic scenario A$2.81. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Autosports Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$2.25, about +108% upside versus a price of A$1.09 (undervalued). Cautious scenario A$1.54, optimistic scenario A$2.81. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Autosports Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$3.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 1, 2026).
Does Autosports Group Ltd pay a dividend?
Autosports Group Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 7.37% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Autosports Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +42.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.0 % per year. As of Nov 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ASG use?
Our models discount Autosports Group Ltd at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.62, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Autosports Group Ltd that is +42.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Autosports Group Ltd grew +10.0 % a year. The price currently implies +42.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Autosports Group Ltd (+42.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.52 %: that much free cash flow Autosports Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Autosports Group Ltd it is A$2.25 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026), against a price of A$1.09. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Autosports Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 1, 2026, ASG trades below its calculated fair value: price A$1.09, fair value A$2.25, a gap of about +108% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ASG?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$1.09); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$2.25). For Autosports Group Ltd the two are A$1.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Autosports Group Ltd worth?
The market values Autosports Group Ltd at about A$248M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 1, 2026). Per share that is A$1.09; our models calculate a fair value of A$2.25 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ASG?
Our models span a range for Autosports Group Ltd: cautious scenario A$1.54, base A$2.25, optimistic A$2.81 per share (as of Nov 1, 2026, price A$1.09). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ASG?
Autosports Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Nov 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of A$2.25 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.1, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Autosports Group Ltd (as of Nov 1, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ASG from its 52-week high?
Autosports Group Ltd trades at A$1.09, about 76% below its 52-week high of A$4.50 and 9% above the low of A$1.00 (as of Nov 5, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$2.25 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Autosports Group Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, D'Ieteren Group, Hotai Motor Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Autosports Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 1, 2026: price A$1.09, calculated fair value A$2.25 (+108%), Quality Score 32/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ASG calculated?
We run Autosports Group Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$2.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.5% above its aggregate fair value. Autosports Group Ltd currently trades 52% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The closing price on Nov 5, 2026 was A$1.09. Our model-based fair value is A$2.25, about +108% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Autosports Group Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (32/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$1.54). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (A$1.54 to A$2.81) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) come from?
Earnings per share at Autosports Group Ltd grew +12.5 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +13.2 %, EBIT margin +7.0 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −8.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Autosports Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The market capitalisation of Autosports Group Ltd is A$248M (≈ $171M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Autosports Group Ltd is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Earnings per share at Autosports Group Ltd are A$0.1300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The dividend yield of Autosports Group Ltd is 7.4% (payout 61.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The net margin of Autosports Group Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Autosports Group Ltd is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Autosports Group Ltd is 9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
The operating margin of Autosports Group Ltd is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Revenue at Autosports Group Ltd is growing +10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Autosports Group Ltd (ASG)?
Earnings per share at Autosports Group Ltd are growing +108% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Autosports Group Ltd (ASG) carry?
The net debt of Autosports Group Ltd is A$1.5B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 90.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 1, 2026