Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Overseas Commerce Ltd stock ILS 8.40, price ILS 5.16, upside +62.9%, quality 71 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 24 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
55‑month range 3.06 ILS – 6.35 ILS · fair‑value band 6.30 ILS – 10.50 ILS · the 5.16 ILS price screens below the 8.40 ILS fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Overseas Commerce Ltd. is involved in the provision of logistics services in Israel and internationally. It operates and manages container and cargo terminals; bonded and logistics warehouses; and logistics activities including in temperature regime.
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The company was incorporated in 1967 and is based in Ashdod, Israel.
Stock analysis
Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) currently trades at 5.16 ILS, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.40 ILS, implying the stock looks roughly 39% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 11.76 ILS per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the 5.16 ILS price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.33 ILS, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 6.30 ILS (bear) to 10.50 ILS (bull), the price of 5.16 ILS sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Overseas Commerce Ltd reported revenue of 378M ILS in FY2025 versus 317M ILS in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1M ILS in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 310M ILS Micro · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) 0.5400 ILS · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 7.5% · Return on equity 13.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.4% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 19% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at 63%, OVRS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear6.30 ILSFair Value 8.40 ILSBull10.50 ILS
Price 5.16 ILS · Upside +62.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.4631 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF9.68 ILS12.06 ILS15.11 ILS82
Growth DCF9.80 ILS12.00 ILS14.67 ILS80
Owner Earnings8.77 ILS10.96 ILS13.77 ILS78
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF9.68 ILS12.06 ILS15.11 ILS82
Owner Earnings8.77 ILS10.96 ILS13.77 ILS78
5Y Revenue Exit8.03 ILS11.24 ILS15.40 ILS73
5Y EBITDA Exit12.24 ILS18.49 ILS25.92 ILS75
5Y P/E Exit7.14 ILS9.71 ILS12.43 ILS72
10Y Revenue Exit8.64 ILS11.17 ILS13.99 ILS68
10Y EBITDA Exit10.82 ILS14.94 ILS19.64 ILS69
10Y P/E Exit8.36 ILS10.38 ILS12.40 ILS65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd3.08 ILS5.93 ILS7.39 ILS66
EPV4.00 ILS4.58 ILS5.04 ILS74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM1.07 ILS1.32 ILS1.53 ILS69
DDM Multi-Stage1.07 ILS1.33 ILS1.55 ILS67
Multiples
P/E Multiple7.14 ILS9.53 ILS11.91 ILS63
P/S Multiple5.78 ILS7.71 ILS9.64 ILS58
P/B Multiple12.41 ILS16.54 ILS20.68 ILS55
EV/EBIT7.11 ILS11.55 ILS15.99 ILS64
EV/EBITDA12.87 ILS19.23 ILS25.59 ILS66
EV/Revenue2.39 ILS6.08 ILS9.77 ILS50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)1.84 ILS2.46 ILS3.68 ILS54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF9.80 ILS12.00 ILS14.67 ILS80
Rev-Margin DCF8.03 ILS11.52 ILS15.56 ILS73
Economic Profit
Residual Income3.06 ILS3.31 ILS3.70 ILS76
ROIC Compounder4.01 ILS4.66 ILS5.25 ILS72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E5.13 ILS7.32 ILS9.52 ILS67
The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for a cyclical peak year.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+15.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.9% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.3% vs 2.9%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 15%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−5.9%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Israel: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −7.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.40 ILS versus a price of 5.16 ILS, about +63% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OVRS?
Our model-based fair value for Overseas Commerce Ltd is 8.40 ILS (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.16 ILS.
What is the quality score of OVRS?
Overseas Commerce Ltd has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 8.40 ILS (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 6.30 ILS, optimistic scenario 10.50 ILS. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Overseas Commerce Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 8.40 ILS, about +63% upside versus a price of 5.16 ILS (undervalued). Cautious scenario 6.30 ILS, optimistic scenario 10.50 ILS. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Overseas Commerce Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 392M ILS (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Overseas Commerce Ltd pay a dividend?
Overseas Commerce Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Overseas Commerce Ltd has a dividend yield of 3.1%.
What growth is priced into Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Overseas Commerce Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -5.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 14.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.6 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of OVRS use?
Our models discount Overseas Commerce Ltd at 14.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Overseas Commerce Ltd that is -5.9 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (14.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Overseas Commerce Ltd grew +3.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -5.9 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Overseas Commerce Ltd (-5.9 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.83 %: that much free cash flow Overseas Commerce Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (14.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Overseas Commerce Ltd it is 8.40 ILS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of 5.16 ILS. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Overseas Commerce Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, OVRS trades below its calculated fair value: price 5.16 ILS, fair value 8.40 ILS, a gap of about +63% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of OVRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.16 ILS); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (8.40 ILS). For Overseas Commerce Ltd the two are 3.24 ILS per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Overseas Commerce Ltd worth?
The market values Overseas Commerce Ltd at about 310M ILS (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is 5.16 ILS; our models calculate a fair value of 8.40 ILS per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about OVRS?
Our models span a range for Overseas Commerce Ltd: cautious scenario 6.30 ILS, base 8.40 ILS, optimistic 10.50 ILS per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price 5.16 ILS). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of OVRS?
Overseas Commerce Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 8.40 ILS is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 4.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Overseas Commerce Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 13.6%, debt of 0.45 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 71/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is OVRS from its 52-week high?
Overseas Commerce Ltd trades at 5.16 ILS, about 19% below its 52-week high of 6.35 ILS and 4% above the low of 4.95 ILS (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 8.40 ILS is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Overseas Commerce Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Overseas Commerce Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price 5.16 ILS, calculated fair value 8.40 ILS (+63%), Quality Score 71/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of OVRS calculated?
We run Overseas Commerce Ltd through 24 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 8.40 ILS builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Overseas Commerce Ltd currently trades 39% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 5.16 ILS. Our model-based fair value is 8.40 ILS, about +63% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Overseas Commerce Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.30 ILS). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (71/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) come from?
Earnings per share at Overseas Commerce Ltd grew −0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.9 %, EBIT margin +2.2 %, tax rate +0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −5.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Overseas Commerce Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The market capitalisation of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 310M ILS. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Earnings per share at Overseas Commerce Ltd are 0.5400 ILS (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The dividend yield of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 3.1% (payout 30.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The net margin of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 7.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 13.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 5.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
The operating margin of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 16.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Revenue at Overseas Commerce Ltd is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Earnings per share at Overseas Commerce Ltd are growing +55.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) carry?
The net debt of Overseas Commerce Ltd is 344M ILS (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026