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Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Il · Market cap 336M ILA

OC Overseas Commerce Ltd OVRS · TA
Price6.07 ILA
Fair Value8.40 ILA
Upside+38.5%
Quality66/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range 6.27 ILA – 10.50 ILA Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from 9.54 ILA to 8.40 ILA (−11.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 38% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (6.27 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.48 ILA 3.12 ILA Fair Value 8.40 ILA Feb 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

54‑month range 3.12 ILA – 6.48 ILA · fair‑value band 6.27 ILA – 10.50 ILA · the 6.07 ILA price screens below the 8.40 ILA fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) currently trades at 6.07 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 8.40 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 38.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Overseas Commerce Ltd generated revenue of 386M ILA at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 8.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.7%. Net debt stands at 344M ILA. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 6.27 ILA (bear case) to 10.50 ILA (bull case); at 6.07 ILA, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 38%, OVRS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 10.55 ILA 13.86 ILA 18.30 ILA 80
Residual Income 3.33 ILA 3.73 ILA 5.54 ILA 76
Rev-Margin DCF 8.02 ILA 11.93 ILA 16.43 ILA 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 10.27 ILA 13.80 ILA 18.83 ILA 38
Owner Earnings 8.81 ILA 11.90 ILA 16.31 ILA 31
5Y Revenue Exit 8.02 ILA 11.70 ILA 16.49 ILA 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 12.93 ILA 20.18 ILA 28.83 ILA 41
5Y P/E Exit 6.98 ILA 9.90 ILA 13.01 ILA 38
10Y Revenue Exit 8.69 ILA 11.89 ILA 15.54 ILA 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 11.67 ILA 17.06 ILA 23.31 ILA 37
10Y P/E Exit 8.31 ILA 10.80 ILA 13.35 ILA 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 3.08 ILA 5.93 ILA 7.39 ILA 54
EPV 5.61 ILA 6.60 ILA 7.42 ILA 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.37 ILA 1.79 ILA 2.18 ILA 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.37 ILA 1.80 ILA 2.25 ILA 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 7.14 ILA 9.53 ILA 11.91 ILA 63
P/S Multiple 5.78 ILA 7.71 ILA 9.64 ILA 58
P/B Multiple 5.78 ILA 7.71 ILA 9.64 ILA 55
EV/EBIT 11.69 ILA 16.13 ILA 20.58 ILA 53
EV/EBITDA 17.45 ILA 23.81 ILA 30.17 ILA 54
EV/Revenue 6.97 ILA 10.66 ILA 14.35 ILA 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.92 ILA 2.57 ILA 3.84 ILA 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 10.55 ILA 13.86 ILA 18.30 ILA 80
Rev-Margin DCF 8.02 ILA 11.93 ILA 16.43 ILA 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 3.33 ILA 3.73 ILA 5.54 ILA 76
ROIC Compounder 5.72 ILA 6.94 ILA 8.12 ILA 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 5.13 ILA 7.32 ILA 9.52 ILA 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (11.93 ILA) versus Dividend Discount (1.79 ILA). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 386M ILA
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.7%
Net margin 6.9%
Return on equity 12.7%
Free cash flow 76.9M ILA FY2025
P/E ratio 11.3
More key figures
Operating margin 15.6%
EPS (TTM) 0.4900 ILA
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net debt 344M ILA FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 66/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Overseas Commerce Ltd. is involved in the provision of logistics services in Israel and internationally. It operates and manages container and cargo terminals; bonded and logistics warehouses; and logistics activities including in temperature regime. The company was incorporated in 1967 and is based in Ashdod, Israel.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Overseas Commerce Ltd reported revenue of 378M ILA in FY2025 versus 317M ILA in FY2021, a compound +4.5%/yr. Reported net income was 25.1M ILA in FY2025, compounding +5.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
378M ILS
Latest YoY
+15.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Revenue +4.5%/yr
FY21 317M ILA
FY22 353M ILA
FY23 341M ILA
FY24 326M ILA
FY25 378M ILA
Net income +5.4%/yr
FY21 20.3M ILA
FY22 24.4M ILA
FY23 −27.6M ILA
FY24 11.4M ILA
FY25 25.1M ILA
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −0.6 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.9 pp

of which total revenue +3.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −0.2 pp

EBIT margin +2.2 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Overseas Commerce Ltd · Fair Value
8.40 ILA +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Overseas Commerce Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/OVRS

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 66 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 13% · Above median
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.52× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.4× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 85 · sector 46
FUTURE 44 · sector 8
PAST 51 · sector 26
HEALTH 78 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 56

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 8.40 ILA versus a price of 6.07 ILA, about +38% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of OVRS?
Our model-based fair value for Overseas Commerce Ltd is 8.40 ILA (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 6.07 ILA.
What is the quality score of OVRS?
Overseas Commerce Ltd has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Overseas Commerce Ltd (OVRS)?
Overseas Commerce Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 386M ILS (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of OVRS?
The net profit margin of Overseas Commerce Ltd is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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