Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock ¥5.90, price ¥7.12, that is 17.1% below the price, quality 50 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 17 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.14 – ¥9.12 · fair‑value band ¥5.02 – ¥6.78 · the ¥7.12 price screens above the ¥5.90 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 6, 2026.
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Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. engages in logistics business in China and internationally.
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The company imports and exports commodities for textile raw materials and textile products and mechanical and electrical products; and medical devices, including MRI, linac, CT imaging system, digital angiograph, biochemical analyzer, surgical instruments, and other medical equipment and instruments.
It also provides warehousing, air freight, shipping and transportation, and international logistics services; and domestic trade in e-commerce, food, and light textile clothing products.
In addition, the company imports and exports textile and garments comprising fabric, various home textiles, knitted wears, shirt, T-shirts, and jackets or men and women under the Kool, Rose, Milky Way, Sparrow333 and LEETAI brands; international procurement, tender, and import for medical equipment, IT products, and telecommunications products and equipment sets, as well as steel and iron, coal, wood, chemical raw materials, wool and cotton.
The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China. Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Orient International (Holding) Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) currently trades at ¥7.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.90, 17% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ¥8.40 per share, and 4 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥7.12 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.49, and 13 of the 17 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ¥5.02 (bear) to ¥6.78 (bull), the price of ¥7.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Orient International Enterprise Ltd reported revenue of 33.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 43.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 6.2B CNY (≈ $931M) Small · P/E ratio 29.7 · P/S ratio 0.24 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2400 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −36% fair-value upside, at −17%, 600278 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear¥5.02Fair Value ¥5.90Bull¥6.78
Price ¥7.12 · Downside -17.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.1205 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.9% vs −1.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Compare Orient International Enterprise Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 210 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient International Enterprise Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600278
Frequently asked questions
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥5.90 versus a price of ¥7.12, about 17% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 600278?
Our model-based fair value for Orient International Enterprise Ltd is ¥5.90 (as of Nov 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥7.12.
What is the quality score of 600278?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥5.90 (as of Nov 6, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥5.02, optimistic scenario ¥6.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥5.90, about 17% lower versus a price of ¥7.12 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥5.02, optimistic scenario ¥6.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 33.5B CNY (latest available figure, as of Nov 6, 2026).
Does Orient International Enterprise Ltd pay a dividend?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.39% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 6, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd pays a dividend of ¥0.099 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.4%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 13, 2026. The payout ratio is 41.3% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orient International Enterprise Ltd it is ¥5.90 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026), against a price of ¥7.12. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 6, 2026, 600278 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥7.12, fair value ¥5.90, a gap of about −17% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600278?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥7.12); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥5.90). For Orient International Enterprise Ltd the two are ¥1.22 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orient International Enterprise Ltd worth?
The market values Orient International Enterprise Ltd at about 6.2B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Nov 6, 2026). Per share that is ¥7.12; our models calculate a fair value of ¥5.90 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600278?
Our models span a range for Orient International Enterprise Ltd: cautious scenario ¥5.02, base ¥5.90, optimistic ¥6.78 per share (as of Nov 6, 2026, price ¥7.12). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600278?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 29.7 (as of Nov 6, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥5.90 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 10 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 28.0. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 7.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orient International Enterprise Ltd (as of Nov 6, 2026): return on equity 3.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600278 from its 52-week high?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd trades at ¥7.12, about 22% below its 52-week high of ¥9.12 and 21% above the low of ¥5.88 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥5.90 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orient International Enterprise Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 6, 2026: price ¥7.12, calculated fair value ¥5.90 (−17%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600278 calculated?
We run Orient International Enterprise Ltd through 17 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ¥5.90 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Orient International Enterprise Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ¥7.12. Our model-based fair value is ¥5.90, about 17% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orient International Enterprise Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥6.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) come from?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd grew +2.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin +0.3 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orient International Enterprise Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The market capitalisation of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 6.2B CNY (≈ $931M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 0.24 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd are ¥0.2400 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The dividend yield of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 1.4% (payout 41.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The net margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 0.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The operating margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 1.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Revenue at Orient International Enterprise Ltd is growing +12.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd are growing +43.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) generate?
The free cash flow of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is −84.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) hold?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd holds more cash than debt, 3.8B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Some data
Nov 6, 2026