Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Orient International Enterprise Ltd ¥6.13, price ¥6.52, upside -6.0%, quality 50 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.14 – ¥9.12 · fair‑value band ¥3.88 – ¥6.47 · the ¥6.52 price screens above the ¥6.13 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. engages in logistics business in China and internationally.
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Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. engages in logistics business in China and internationally. The company imports and exports commodities for textile raw materials and textile products and mechanical and electrical products; and medical devices, including MRI, linac, CT imaging system, digital angiograph, biochemical analyzer, surgical instruments, and other medical equipment and instruments. It also provides warehousing, air freight, shipping and transportation, and international logistics services; and domestic trade in e-commerce, food, and light textile clothing products. In addition, the company imports and exports textile and garments comprising fabric, various home textiles, knitted wears, shirt, T-shirts, and jackets or men and women under the Kool, Rose, Milky Way, Sparrow333 and LEETAI brands; international procurement, tender, and import for medical equipment, IT products, and telecommunications products and equipment sets, as well as steel and iron, coal, wood, chemical raw materials, wool and cotton. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China. Orient International Enterprise, Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Orient International (Holding) Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) currently trades at ¥6.52, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.13, implying the stock looks roughly 6.4% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥10.01 per share, and 6 of the 17 models we run sit above the ¥6.52 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥1.74, and 11 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥3.88 (bear) to ¥6.47 (bull), the price of ¥6.52 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Orient International Enterprise Ltd reported revenue of 33.0B CNY in FY2025 versus 43.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −6.7%/yr. Reported net income was 203M CNY in FY2025, compounding −14.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 5.7B CNY (≈ $849M) · P/E ratio 31.0 · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.2100 · Dividend yield 1.5% · Net margin 0.6% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −6%, 600278 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥3.88Fair Value ¥6.13Bull ¥6.47
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.0812 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.14/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−6.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−8.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−9% vs −2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 1%
Compare Orient International Enterprise Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Orient International Enterprise Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600278
Frequently asked questions
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥6.13 versus a price of ¥6.52, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600278?
Our model-based fair value for Orient International Enterprise Ltd is ¥6.13 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥6.52.
What is the quality score of 600278?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥6.13 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥3.88, optimistic scenario ¥6.47. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥6.13, about −6% upside versus a price of ¥6.52 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ¥3.88, optimistic scenario ¥6.47. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 32.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Orient International Enterprise Ltd pay a dividend?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Orient International Enterprise Ltd it is ¥6.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ¥6.52. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 600278 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥6.52, fair value ¥6.13, a gap of about −6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 600278?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥6.52); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥6.13). For Orient International Enterprise Ltd the two are ¥0.3900 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Orient International Enterprise Ltd worth?
The market values Orient International Enterprise Ltd at about 5.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ¥6.52; our models calculate a fair value of ¥6.13 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 600278?
Our models span a range for Orient International Enterprise Ltd: cautious scenario ¥3.88, base ¥6.13, optimistic ¥6.47 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ¥6.52). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 600278?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 31.0 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥6.13 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.9.
How solid is the balance sheet of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Balance-sheet figures for Orient International Enterprise Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 50/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 600278 from its 52-week high?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd trades at ¥6.52, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥9.12 and 11% above the low of ¥5.88 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥6.13 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Orient International Enterprise Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Orient International Enterprise Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ¥6.52, calculated fair value ¥6.13 (−6%), Quality Score 50/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 600278 calculated?
We run Orient International Enterprise Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥6.13, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Orient International Enterprise Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥6.52. Our model-based fair value is ¥6.13, about −6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Orient International Enterprise Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) come from?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd grew +2.6 % a year from 2013 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.9 %, EBIT margin +0.3 %, tax rate −0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −2.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Orient International Enterprise Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The market capitalisation of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 5.7B CNY (≈ $849M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 0.19 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd are ¥0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 31.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The dividend yield of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 1.5% (payout 47.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The net margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 0.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
The operating margin of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Revenue at Orient International Enterprise Ltd is growing −4.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278)?
Earnings per share at Orient International Enterprise Ltd are growing −33.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) generate?
The free cash flow of Orient International Enterprise Ltd is −84.8M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Orient International Enterprise Ltd (600278) hold?
Orient International Enterprise Ltd holds more cash than debt, 3.8B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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