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Data-driven stock valuation

RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of RideNow Group, Inc. stock $1.41, price $5.44, that is 74.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 5 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

RG RideNow Group, Inc. logo Thin data Nov 4, 2026

RideNow Group, Inc.

RDNW · US
Very expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 74% below what the stock costs today.

Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Fair value $1.41 · Strongly overvalued
Quality 35/100
Weak Growth (revenue 3y −9.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -0.8% net margin (TTM)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 18/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$48.39 $1.51 Fair Value $1.41 Aug 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.51 – $48.39 · fair‑value band $0.5200 – $2.40 · the $5.44 price screens above the $1.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 4, 2026.

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Company profile

RideNow Group, Inc. provides powersports dealership and vehicle transportation services in the United States. It operates in two segments: Powersports and Vehicle Transportation Services.

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The Powersports segment provides new and pre-owned motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, utility terrain or side-by-side vehicles, personal watercrafts, snowmobiles, and other powersports products.

It also offers parts, apparel, accessories, finance and insurance products and services, and aftermarket products, as well as repair and maintenance services. The Vehicle Transportation Services segment provides asset-light transportation brokerage services facilitating automobile transportation.

The company was formerly known as RumbleOn, Inc. and changed its name to RideNow Group, Inc. in August 2025. RideNow Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.

Stock analysis

RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) currently trades at $5.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.41, 74% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $1.65 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $5.44 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $0.9000, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.5200 (bear) to $2.40 (bull), the price of $5.44 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

RideNow Group, Inc. reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $935M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $212M Micro · P/S ratio 0.19 · EPS (TTM) $−0.2200 · Net margin −0.8% · Return on equity −879% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 6.0% · Revenue (TTM) $1.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −74%, RDNW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.5200 Fair Value $1.41 Bull $2.40
Price $5.44 · Downside -74.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EPV $0.3700 $0.9000 $1.33 69
ROIC Compounder $0.5200 $1.41 $2.40 65
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $2.59 62
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.3700 $0.9000 $1.33 69
Multiples
EV/EBIT n/a $1.65 $5.42 61
EV/EBITDA n/a n/a $2.59 62
EV/Revenue n/a n/a $0.7200 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.5200 $1.41 $2.40 65

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 45
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 8
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 5
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 20
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 42
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 66
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 27
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, no officer or director bought or sold shares on the open market.

Plus 9 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 6, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+86.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.8% (2020) → 3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

RDNW screens overvalued: fair value 74% below the price. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 84 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −7.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −0.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 6.0% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −1.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.19× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $308.77 $517.15 +67% vs RDNW
AutoNation, Inc AN $184.00 $218.68 +19% vs RDNW
Hotai Motor Co 2207 533.00 TWD 576.75 TWD +8% vs RDNW
Penske Automotive Group PAG $212.36 $220.10 +4% vs RDNW
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $34.35 $30.74 −11% vs RDNW
Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHB $58.61 $49.69 −15% vs RDNW
CarMax, Inc KMX $51.48 $32.38 −37% vs RDNW
Carvana Co CVNA $73.57 $25.27 −66% vs RDNW
Valvoline Inc VVV $34.81 $11.66 −67% vs RDNW
AUTO1 Group AG1 €17.20 €4.48 −74% vs RDNW

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RideNow Group, Inc.: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RideNow Group, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RDNW

Frequently asked questions

Is RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.41 versus a price of $5.44, about 74% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RDNW?
Our model-based fair value for RideNow Group, Inc. is $1.41 (as of Nov 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.44.
What is the quality score of RDNW?
RideNow Group, Inc. has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.41 (as of Nov 4, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5200, optimistic scenario $2.40. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RideNow Group, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.41, about 74% lower versus a price of $5.44 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.5200, optimistic scenario $2.40. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
RideNow Group, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Nov 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RideNow Group, Inc. it is $1.41 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026), against a price of $5.44. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models in 3 families (Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit).
Is RideNow Group, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 4, 2026, RDNW trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.44, fair value $1.41, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RDNW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.44); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.41). For RideNow Group, Inc. the two are $4.03 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RideNow Group, Inc. worth?
The market values RideNow Group, Inc. at about $212M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 4, 2026). Per share that is $5.44; our models calculate a fair value of $1.41 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RDNW?
Our models span a range for RideNow Group, Inc.: cautious scenario $0.5200, base $1.41, optimistic $2.40 per share (as of Nov 4, 2026, price $5.44). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Balance-sheet figures for RideNow Group, Inc. (as of Nov 4, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RDNW from its 52-week high?
RideNow Group, Inc. trades at $5.44, about 34% below its 52-week high of $8.26 and 33% above the low of $4.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.41 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RideNow Group, Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RideNow Group, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 4, 2026: price $5.44, calculated fair value $1.41 (−74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RDNW calculated?
We run RideNow Group, Inc. through 5 models from 3 families: Earnings-Based, Multiples, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $1.41 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. RideNow Group, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $5.44. Our model-based fair value is $1.41, about 74% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RideNow Group, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.40). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide ($0.5200 to $2.40). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of RideNow Group, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The market capitalisation of RideNow Group, Inc. is $212M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RideNow Group, Inc. is 0.19 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Earnings per share at RideNow Group, Inc. are $−0.2200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The net margin of RideNow Group, Inc. is −0.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RideNow Group, Inc. is −879% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RideNow Group, Inc. is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The operating margin of RideNow Group, Inc. is 6.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Revenue at RideNow Group, Inc. is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) generate?
The free cash flow of RideNow Group, Inc. is −$13.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) carry?
The net debt of RideNow Group, Inc. is $525M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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