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RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of RideNow Group, Inc. $1.66, price $6.05, upside -72.6%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US7813863054

RG RideNow Group, Inc. logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

RideNow Group, Inc.

RDNW · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.66 · Strongly overvalued (−73%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +21.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -4.3% net margin (TTM)
!Negative equity (buybacks among others) · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/8)
!Narrow moat 19/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$48.39 $1.51 Fair Value $1.66 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.51 – $48.39 · fair‑value band $1.28 – $2.62 · the $6.05 price screens above the $1.66 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

RideNow Group, Inc. provides powersports dealership and vehicle transportation services in the United States. It operates in two segments: Powersports and Vehicle Transportation Services.

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RideNow Group, Inc. provides powersports dealership and vehicle transportation services in the United States. It operates in two segments: Powersports and Vehicle Transportation Services. The Powersports segment provides new and pre-owned motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles, utility terrain or side-by-side vehicles, personal watercrafts, snowmobiles, and other powersports products. It also offers parts, apparel, accessories, finance and insurance products and services, and aftermarket products, as well as repair and maintenance services. The Vehicle Transportation Services segment provides asset-light transportation brokerage services facilitating automobile transportation. The company was formerly known as RumbleOn, Inc. and changed its name to RideNow Group, Inc. in August 2025. RideNow Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2013 and is headquartered in Chandler, Arizona.

Stock analysis

RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) currently trades at $6.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.66, implying the stock looks roughly 264.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $8.37 per share, and 3 of the 5 models we run sit above the $6.05 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.50, and 2 of the 5 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $1.28 (bear) to $2.62 (bull), the price of $6.05 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

RideNow Group, Inc. reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $935M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$52.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $291M · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) $−1.24 · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −879% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.1% · Operating margin 2.9% · Revenue (TTM) $1.1B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 27% below its 52-week high and 86% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −73%, RDNW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $1.28 Fair Value $1.66 Bull $2.62
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $0.8400 $1.50 $2.03 71
EV/EBITDA $5.13 $8.37 $11.62 66
ROIC Compounder $1.76 $3.91 $5.28 66
All 5 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.8400 $1.50 $2.03 71
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.84 $10.66 $14.48 65
EV/EBITDA $5.13 $8.37 $11.62 66
EV/Revenue $3.11 $6.42 $9.73 51
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.76 $3.91 $5.28 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 45
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 25
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 65
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 38/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+86.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−5.8% (2020) → 3.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

RDNW screens 264% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto & Truck Dealerships · 104 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −73% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.27× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 38
FUTURE (revenue growth)32 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 88
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 78

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Valvoline Inc VVV $28.67 $24.55 −14%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $34.63 $35.22 +2%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$19.15 A$17.66 −8%

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RideNow Group, Inc. · Fair Value
$1.66 −264%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "RideNow Group, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RDNW

Frequently asked questions

Is RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.66 versus a price of $6.05, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RDNW?
Our model-based fair value for RideNow Group, Inc. is $1.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $6.05.
What is the quality score of RDNW?
RideNow Group, Inc. has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.66 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 5 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.28, optimistic scenario $2.62. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the RideNow Group, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.66, about −73% upside versus a price of $6.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.28, optimistic scenario $2.62. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
RideNow Group, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For RideNow Group, Inc. it is $1.66 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $6.05. It is the blended result of 5 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is RideNow Group, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, RDNW trades above its calculated fair value: price $6.05, fair value $1.66, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of RDNW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($6.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.66). For RideNow Group, Inc. the two are $4.39 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is RideNow Group, Inc. worth?
The market values RideNow Group, Inc. at about $291M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $6.05; our models calculate a fair value of $1.66 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about RDNW?
Our models span a range for RideNow Group, Inc.: cautious scenario $1.28, base $1.66, optimistic $2.62 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $6.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Balance-sheet figures for RideNow Group, Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is RDNW from its 52-week high?
RideNow Group, Inc. trades at $6.05, about 27% below its 52-week high of $8.26 and 86% above the low of $3.25 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.66 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to RideNow Group, Inc.?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Carvana Co, Penske Automotive Group, Hotai Motor Co, CarMax, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is RideNow Group, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $6.05, calculated fair value $1.66 (−73%), Quality Score 31/100, from 5 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of RDNW calculated?
We run RideNow Group, Inc. through 5 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.66, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. RideNow Group, Inc. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $6.05. Our model-based fair value is $1.66, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with RideNow Group, Inc. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.62). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (31/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.28 to $2.62) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of RideNow Group, Inc.

How large is the market capitalisation of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The market capitalisation of RideNow Group, Inc. is $291M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of RideNow Group, Inc. is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Earnings per share at RideNow Group, Inc. are $−1.24. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The net margin of RideNow Group, Inc. is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of RideNow Group, Inc. is −879% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of RideNow Group, Inc. is 0.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
The operating margin of RideNow Group, Inc. is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW)?
Revenue at RideNow Group, Inc. is growing +6.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) generate?
The free cash flow of RideNow Group, Inc. is −$13.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does RideNow Group, Inc. (RDNW) carry?
The net debt of RideNow Group, Inc. is $525M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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