Transimex Corporation (TMS) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · VN · Market cap 6.5T VND
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price −3.1% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range (20,909 VND to 39,146 VND) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13,412 VND – 72,578 VND · fair‑value band 20,909 VND – 39,146 VND · the 36,500 VND price screens above the 22,838 VND fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Transimex Corporation (TMS) currently trades at 36,500 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 22,838 VND, implying the stock looks roughly 37.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Transimex Corporation generated revenue of 2.5T VND at a net margin of 8.6%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. Net debt stands at 2.0T VND. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 20,909 VND (bear case) to 39,146 VND (bull case); at 36,500 VND, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -37%, TMS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (30,190 VND) versus Growth DCF (304.85 VND). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Transimex Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Vietnam. The company offers international freight forwarding, such as full container load (FCL)/ less than container load (LCL); international and domestic door-to-door transport services; air freight; project cargo and exhibition displays; and carriage, packing, and …
Full company description
Transimex Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in Vietnam. The company offers international freight forwarding, such as full container load (FCL)/ less than container load (LCL); international and domestic door-to-door transport services; air freight; project cargo and exhibition displays; and carriage, packing, and customs clearance services. It also provides document storage solutions, including document management and archiving solutions; warehouse and distribution; inland trucking; project, construction, oversized, and overweight cargo transportation; and contract and total logistics services. In addition, the company offers ICD operator services; packaging, repackaging, and goods distribution services; and support and agency services. Further, it is involved in freight transport by road; real estate business; real estate trading; real estate consultancy, brokerage, real estate auction, and auction of land use rights activities; office building leasing; arranging and organizing of transportation activities by rail, road, sea, and air; supporting services related to transportation; cleaning of residential and commercial premises; landscaping maintenance and care services; leasing of machinery; inland waterway ports; inland cargo transportation; coastal and deep-sea cargo transportation; chartering of sea vessels; cargo handling; logistics distribution center; ship agency; value-added services; passenger road transportation; airline ticket agency services; and goods delivery activities. The company was formerly known as Transimex-Saigon Corporation and changed its name to Transimex Corporation in May 2016. Transimex Corporation was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Transimex Corporation reported revenue of 3.5T VND in FY2025 versus 6.4T VND in FY2021, a compound −14.1%/yr. Reported net income was 362B VND in FY2025, compounding −10.7%/yr from FY2021.
TMS screens 37% overvalued. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →
Peer Group
Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Parcel Service, Inc UPS | $117.72 | $104.58 | -11% |
| FedEx Corporation FDX | $314.69 | $347.68 | +10% |
| Deutsche Post AG DHL | €57.22 | €53.18 | -7% |
| DSV A/S DSV | kr 1,660 | kr 712.57 | -57% |
| Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN | CHF 209.90 | CHF 147.92 | -30% |
| J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT | $291.41 | $133.80 | -54% |
| S.F. Holding 002352 | ¥31.91 | ¥48.64 | +52% |
| C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW | $193.50 | $86.56 | -55% |
| Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD | $172.02 | $115.95 | -33% |
| ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 | HK$181.40 | HK$241.93 | +33% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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