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Watches of Switzerland Group (WOSG) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · GB · Market cap 1.8B GBX

WO Watches of Switzerland Group WOSG · LSE
Price£7.80
Fair Value£9.41
Upside+20.6%
Quality69/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 5.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range £6.02 – £11.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from £5.11 to £9.41 (+84.1%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 21% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (£6.02 to £11.76) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

£15.73 £3.30 Fair Value £9.41 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range £3.30 – £15.73 · fair‑value band £6.02 – £11.76 · the £7.80 price screens below the £9.41 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Watches of Switzerland Group (WOSG) currently trades at £7.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £9.41, implying the stock looks roughly 20.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Watches of Switzerland Group generated revenue of £1.7B at a net margin of 4.1%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.2%. Net debt stands at £483M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from £6.02 (bear case) to £11.76 (bull case); at £7.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at 21%, WOSG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF £7.51 £12.70 £20.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF £6.60 £11.72 £18.52 74
ROIC Compounder £4.99 £6.62 £8.65 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF £7.69 £13.73 £23.32 38
Owner Earnings £5.67 £10.23 £17.46 31
5Y Revenue Exit £6.60 £11.84 £18.99 39
5Y EBITDA Exit £8.81 £16.50 £26.31 41
5Y P/E Exit £6.57 £11.78 £17.79 38
10Y Revenue Exit £6.71 £11.61 £19.20 36
10Y EBITDA Exit £8.26 £14.77 £24.94 37
10Y P/E Exit £6.89 £11.56 £18.26 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd £2.91 £14.72 £20.33 54
Lynch FV £4.00 £5.71 £7.42 50
PEG = 1.0 £4.00 £5.71 £7.42 46
EPV £4.44 £5.12 £5.68 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple £7.06 £9.41 £11.76 63
P/S Multiple £5.45 £7.27 £9.09 58
P/B Multiple £5.45 £7.27 £9.09 55
EV/EBIT £9.88 £13.36 £16.83 53
EV/EBITDA £10.32 £13.95 £17.57 54
EV/Revenue £6.08 £8.93 £11.77 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) £1.36 £1.82 £2.72 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF £7.51 £12.70 £20.35 80
Rev-Margin DCF £6.60 £11.72 £18.52 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income £2.60 £3.26 £7.41 61
ROIC Compounder £4.99 £6.62 £8.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E £6.22 £8.88 £11.55 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (£11.78) versus Asset-Based (£1.82). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 1.8B GBX
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.4%
Net margin 4.1%
Return on equity 12.2%
Free cash flow 174M GBX FY2026
P/E ratio 24.2
More key figures
Operating margin 9.3%
EPS (TTM) £0.3000
EPS growth (YoY) +125%
Net debt 483M GBX FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 66
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 24
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 98
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Watches of Switzerland Group PLC operates as a retailer of luxury watches and jewelry in the United Kingdom, Europe, and the United States. The company engages in the sale of fashion and classic watches, and jewelry; and gifts, as well as provides servicing, repairs, and product insurance services.

Full company description

Watches of Switzerland Group PLC operates as a retailer of luxury watches and jewelry in the United Kingdom, Europe, and the United States. The company engages in the sale of fashion and classic watches, and jewelry; and gifts, as well as provides servicing, repairs, and product insurance services. It trades under the Watches of Switzerland, Mappin & Webb, Goldsmiths, Mayors, Betteridge, Analog:Shift, and Hodinkee brands, as well as hosts Rolex, Cartier, OMEGA, TUDOR, and TAG Heuer brands. The company sells its products through showrooms, and online and wholesale channel. Watches of Switzerland Group PLC was founded in 1775 and is based in Leicester, the United Kingdom.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Watches of Switzerland Group reported revenue of £1.8B in FY2026 versus £1.2B in FY2022, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was £99.0M in FY2026, compounding −0.5%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
£1.8B
Latest YoY
+10.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+15.1%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y)
+17.5%
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY22 £1.2B
FY23 £1.5B
FY24 £1.5B
FY25 £1.7B
FY26 £1.8B
Net income −0.5%/yr
FY22 £101M
FY23 £122M
FY24 £59.1M
FY25 £53.8M
FY26 £99.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Watches of Switzerland Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WOSG

Peer Group

Luxury Goods · 132 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +21% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 3.87× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.33× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 14.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.43× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 61 · sector 13
FUTURE 67 · sector 50
PAST 68 · sector 38
HEALTH 85 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 197.40 CHF 117.30 -41%
Christian Dior SE DIO €455.40 €502.30 +10%
Kering SA KER €248.50 €60.61 -76%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $140.73 $19.95 -86%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$11.82 HK$12.28 +4%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 40.95 CHF 21.48 -48%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$43.26 HK$64.05 +48%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 779.40 kr 1,424 +83%
Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC €80.32 €42.69 -47%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹546.60 ₹238.57 -56%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Watches of Switzerland Group (WOSG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £9.41 versus a price of £7.80, about +21% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WOSG?
Our model-based fair value for Watches of Switzerland Group is £9.41 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is £7.80.
What is the quality score of WOSG?
Watches of Switzerland Group has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Watches of Switzerland Group (WOSG)?
Watches of Switzerland Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £1.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WOSG?
The net profit margin of Watches of Switzerland Group is about 4.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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